Dave Studeman introduces a new WPA tool at The Hardball Times. Very cool.
It gives you the win probability for any situation in a game, and you can also adjust for run environment. The important thing to remember is that the numbers that get spit out are overall averages; you have to keep in mind the [...]
Archive for June, 2009
27 Jun
WPA Inquirer
26 Jun
Hey, this is something different
A mainstream media vs. mainstream media debate at the U-T. Radio vs. print.
(h/t: Hank’s Padre Discussion)
23 Jun
Gonzalez is good
Haven’t watched enough Padres games this year, but I’m tuning in tonight. Some random observations:
Adrian Gonzalez is pretty good. He turned on a high fastball and hit it way out to left. It’s remarkable how he got his hands through on that pitch and got the good part of the bat on it. Went to [...]
23 Jun
Gwynn
After struggling in stints in three seasons with Milwaukee, hitting .248/.300/.298, Tony Gwynn Jr. is dealt to the Padres where he hits .348 in his first 27 games. What are the chances that the son of the best player in Padres’ history manages to not only have enough talent to make the big leagues, but [...]
22 Jun
Stolen base research
Along with misinterpreting a stat in my last post, I also somehow managed to wipe out another short post I had made on the same topic. Good grief! I guess this truly means I’m back ; )
Anyway, before looking into the Pads’ 2009 base running stats, I discovered a few recent base stealing articles on the [...]
22 Jun
2009 Padres base running
What follows is simply for entertainment purposes. The dreaded sample size issue renders most of it useless; still, I think it is at least somewhat insightful, if only to point out what has happened, not what will happen.
Anyway, Baseball Reference has some great base running stats. I messed around with some stuff, and took out [...]
21 Jun
Second base fielding, THT style
We’re moving on to second base in an early glimpse at 2009 fielding performance, according to stats available at The Hardball Times. Check this link for a little background on what we’re doing. Here are the second base top/bottom 5, then the Padres:
Top 5
Player
Team
RAA
Hill
TOR
+15.2
Phillips
CIN
+10.1
Weeks
MIL
+9.2
Kendrick
LAA
+8.8
Zobrist
TB
+6.9
Bottom 5
Player
Team
RAA
Schumaker
STL
-9.5
Uggla
FLA
-9.2
Kennedy
OAK
-8.6
Getz
CHA
-8.2
Collaspo
KC
-6.8
Padres
Player
Innings
RAA
Eckstein
519
-4.1
Gonzalez
73
0
Eckstein hasn’t been very good, according to these numbers. UZR has [...]
17 Jun
Quick hits: Draft recaps
Geoff Young has some thoughts on the Padres’ draft, among other things, in his must-read weekly post.
Peter Friberg interviews prospect expert Johns Sickels about the draft. Sickels is pretty optimistic about the Padres’ selections, and he thinks all three early high school picks (Tate, Williams, Sampson) will sign.
At Mad Friars, John Conniff interviews Kevin Goldstein and Jim [...]
17 Jun
Peavy’s injury
Daniel links to Will Carroll’s take on Peavy’s injury. Carroll thinks Peavy is essentially done for the year, although that assessment may be, as Will calls it, a bit provocative.
Still, if Carroll is right about the injury, a return in 3-4 weeks is out of question, and the injury is definitely more serious than the initial [...]
16 Jun
What’s wrong with Kouzmanoff?
Nothing. Maybe.
I was going to investigate what’s been wrong with Kouz this year. I started, actually. Then, after perusing his Fangraphs card, I stopped. Sure, there are a couple of angles I could take (his production is worse against the fastball this year, for instance), but after thinking about it for a second, there is little [...]
Recent Comments