TucsonRoyal takes a look at the college run scoring environment at Beyond the Boxscore. Great stuff.
The college environment is, as you’d expect, more offense-oriented than the major league game. In college, there are 6.26 runs scored per game (per team). In the majors, that numbers sits at 4.61. That’s going to have some effect on different strategies, like when to sac bunt or steal.
The only thing I think the analysis is missing is the game theory aspect. For instance, the author says never to sac bunt if you’re not in a late/close situation. While this makes sense, based on the run expectancy chart, if you never bunt in these situations, teams are going to play back. Therefore, you might hurt your overall offensive output. You have to at least employ the sac bunt on occasion, just to keep the defense guessing.
Also, you have to remember that these are just averages. While it may not make sense to sac bunt a guy to second in a close and late game, on average, in certain situations – with a bad hitter up, with a great pitcher on the mound, etc. – it might.
Anyway, it’s still very good research into the college game as we get set for the College World Series.
Another Padres Blog 
Posted by Myron on June 17, 2009 at 1:49 am
MGL reminded me in the comments — you also can’t forget the other events that occur other than a ‘successful’ sac bunt (errors, hits, double plays, lead runner out, etc.).